Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.472459 0.553796 0.642841 0.747281 0.866129 0.996862 1.151242
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.352804 0.462707 0.594693 0.763612 0.972661 1.221397 1.538105
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.271240 0.392361 0.549859 0.766727 1.054192 1.418399 1.910334
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.206104 0.326162 0.493913 0.740344 1.087035 1.550382 2.207919
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.174086 0.297639 0.481149 0.765691 1.186022 1.772537 2.638246
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.148086 0.272041 0.466775 0.783825 1.272978 1.981874 3.064580
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.133616 0.261508 0.472510 0.830779 1.404298 2.262306 3.610493
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.112583 0.235482 0.448822 0.826985 1.455379 2.425896 3.994461
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.094290 0.210590 0.422756 0.814761 1.489739 2.563963 4.346485
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.079944 0.190231 0.401210 0.806584 1.528129 2.708761 4.715752
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.071053 0.179037 0.394580 0.823309 1.608916 2.925685 5.211174
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.062782 0.167473 0.385378 0.833684 1.678531 3.127626 5.693127
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.054696 0.154947 0.372954 0.837396 1.738164 3.319814 6.176593
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048500 0.145593 0.365737 0.850438 1.816090 3.548945 6.737130
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.042277 0.134771 0.353677 0.852046 1.872137 3.742889 7.248464
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034914 0.119143 0.328308 0.822491 1.864489 3.821197 7.561373
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032052 0.115240 0.329500 0.850015 1.972062 4.116293 8.275191
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029076 0.110293 0.327381 0.869777 2.065115 4.389498 8.963411
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027943 0.110711 0.338661 0.921113 2.227450 4.802823 9.928550
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024404 0.102584 0.326749 0.916950 2.271841 4.991806 10.486739
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.020983 0.093870 0.311801 0.903576 2.294787 5.139575 10.974072
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.018199 0.086537 0.299351 0.894629 2.326178 5.304980 11.501911
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.016624 0.083227 0.297802 0.912924 2.420024 5.601088 12.295917